My predictions as of 10 PM on March 22nd as two vessels are racing into the finish of the Ultimate Florida Challenge:
My prediction for LRock_CrazyRussian - winds die until mid morning and build out of NW so speed picks up and finish in 7 to 9 hours from now, and I will estimate they arrive at 6:10 AM on Mar 23rd. As of 9:25 pm on March 22, LRock_CrazyRussian are about 40 nm from finishing the 2016 Ultimate Florida Challenge. They are moving at 4.3 kts. just NW of the shoal North of Anclote Keys.
My prediction for SOS - light winds over the next few hours will affect Alan a bit more than LRock_CrazyRussian. SOS is about 58 nm out from finishing at Ft DeSoto and moving at 2 kts as of 9:12 PM. Winds will pick-up overnight and send Alan on his way. I estimate a range of arrival for Alan between 5:30 AM and 11:50 AM on Wednesday March 23rd with an estimated arrival target time of 7:45 AM. This is a bit agressive, but let's see how this unfolds.