Talking About Adventure In Small Boats
MicroTom
Key Master
Because you can never start too early 
Accuweather has a 30 day forecast which is based on historical data.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/st-petersburg-fl/33712/february-weather/332287
Fri 3/2
69° /54°
Rain becoming steadier
Hist. Avg. 74°/58°
Sat 3/3
69° /54°
Mostly sunny
Hist. Avg. 74°/58°
MicroTom
Key Master
Looks perfect so far 
How much could it possibly chage........
72°Hi
Precipitation 20%
Sunshine
Winds from the
ENE 9 mph
MicroTom
Key Master
Multiple weather sites now have a 14 day forecast. The trend seems to be decreasing temperatures with lows dipping into the high 50s and high temps in the low 70s for Friday and Saturday. There are indications of a front coming through with a north wind behind it. Question will be will it arrive? Will it arrive on time for the start and provide a nice down wind ride for the first day or two? Or will it be blowing hard enough to cause a weather hold at the start?
MisterMoon
Member
Looking at the weather models, the start looks like NE 9-12, shifting E and building throughout the day.
Sunday-Monday the winds shift SE and S and and a front comes through Monday night with strong NW winds. Tuesday-Wednesday show winds NW18-30 sustained.
Subject to revision of course.
SeaDogRocket
Member
Ok who is wishing for wind? Stop it! ;)
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/sarasota-fl/34237/daily-weather-forecast/328166?day=11
Coastie
Member
It is great to watch the forecast, but I wouldn't trust or worry about any particular forecast yet. The National Weather Service is the one who issues a Small Craft Warning or Advisory. Depending on the language of a Warning, the Race Director may or may not issue a No Launch Weather Hold or Prudent Weather Hold. Prudent Weather Holds lets the Captain decide to launch based on boat/conditions/etc. Hopefully the weather will be fine, and a weather hold is not necessary. Way too early to worry. For us, in our particular boat (Hobie Getaway catamaran), launch conditions have been fine the past six years that we have participated. We are suppose to be experts of our vessels, so in all weather conditions I will always push for the Race Director to let the Captains decide for the vessel (as we do each and every minute when we are underway on this fun challenge). My fellow sailboaters will always be rooting for the wind (unless it is dead in our faces:)
Coastie (Eddie)
RunsWithBeer
Member
My two cents worth ....
On Wednesday you'll have an idea of what the weather will be.
It will be what it is.
I have agonized for years and years before big races about the weather. Be prepared and see above.
Looking forward to seeing everyone on Friday at inspection.
It is true that forecasts are not 100% reliable. However, I like what I am seeing so far, and I am thankful for that.
Coastie
Member
We're getting closer now to an accurate forecast. I agree with you WindwardMark, I also like what I am seeing so far. National Weather Forecast is North wind 9 to 11 mph. Weather Underground says North 9 mph at 0700 with a temperature of 53 warming up to a high near 75. My Weather has NNE 13 at 0700 shifting to North 11 mph at 1000. Looking good.....keep those fingers crossed!
See everyone on the beach!
Coastie (Eddie)
Coastie
Member
NOAA National Weather Service Tampa Bay has forecast of NNE 11-13 on Saturday. My Weather site has NNE 12 at 0700. It gives a hourly forecast. We’ll certainly get a better idea tomorrow afternoon. Certainly nice wind and direction for Miss Marie, our Hobie Cat. A nice ride down the coast.
Coastie (Eddie)
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